MLB Premium Play 08/14: Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays

MLB - 971 Seattle Mariners @ 972 Tampa Bay Rays

(Starting Pitchers: A. Harang vs D. Price)

Tampa Bay is 0-6 on their last six games, so they will be desperate for a win tonight. They will start David Price tonight, who has allowed just 0, 1, 1 and 1 earned runs on his last four starts. He will have a favorable matchup against Seattle's offense tonight, who struggles against LH pitchers by being just #23 in the league. The Mariners have a bunch of LH batters on the lineup and Price dominates LH batters with .212 BA, .246 wOBA, 3.00 FIP and 2.96 xFIP! Therefore, I believe Price will be dominant once again tonight.

Aaron Harang will start for Seattle and he was crushed by Toronto last Wednesday by allowing seven runs in two innings. This was his second game in a row where he allowed seven runs. His command has been awful, with no strikeouts and a bunch of homeruns allowed. Not even the fact that he pitches his home games at Seattle is preventing him from having a 12.8% HR/FB, so he is even more attackable on the road. Tampa Bay is fired up for tonight's game and they have a huge SP edge in here. Therefore, I expect an easy win for the Rays and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 972 Tampa Bay Rays RL -1.5 (w/ D. Price) @ -130 / 1.77 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 08/07: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners

MLB - 913 Toronto Blue Jays @ 914 Seattle Mariners

(Starting Pitchers: J. Happ vs A. Harang)

Toronto will be trying to complete a road sweep today, after having surprisingly won the first two games of this series. They'll be facing Aaron Harang today, who allowed seven runs in five innings against Baltimore last Friday. Over his last six outings, Harang only had one good start against Minnesota. The reason for these problems are mostly because of his lack of strikeout punch, which forces him to have high P/IP numbers. So, it's not a surprise that everytime he faces a team that is a top hitting team versus RH pitchers, he gets crushed. This is why he allowed seven runs against Boston, then one run (but 11 hits!) against the LA Angels and also one run against Cleveland, where he was very lucky with a 1.29 ERA in that outing, but with a 5.18 FIP and 5.49 xFIP! Therefore, I expect Harang to heavily struggle today against the power lineup of the Blue Jays.

J.A. Happ will back his comeback start today and he has a favorable matchup in here, as Seattle is just #23 in the league on hitting versus LH pitchers, while hitting just .241 BA versus LH pitchers on their last 10 games. Seattle's struggles against LH pitchers are explained with the fact that their top hitters are also lefties and in fact, most of their lineup is left-handed. Happ won't pitch for a lot of innings today, but Toronto's bullpen isn't overworked and so, they are ready to help Happ today. I believe Happ should be able to have a decent outing today on a good matchup, while Harang should get pounded, so I'll be taking the Blue Jays today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 913 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ J. Happ) @ -107 / 1.93 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/06: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners

MLB - 973 Toronto Blue Jays @ 974 Seattle Mariners

(Starting Pitchers: J. Johnson vs F. Hernandez)

Toronto won the first game of this series on a pitchers duel, mostly thanks to R.A. Dickey who has been pitching better lately. Things will be much different tonight, as the Blue Jays will start Josh Johnson and he has been a disaster this season. He has allowed 25 earned runs in his last four outings and the truth is that Johnson ended July with a 7.71 ERA, 6.08 FIP and a .279 BA! Seattle's offense has been great against RH pitchers, so Johnson will heavily struggle once again tonight.

On the other side, Felix Hernandez will start for the Mariners tonight and he is coming from dominating the Red Sox on the road, as he allowed just one earned run in seven innings, while having a 8/2 K/BB ratio! Toronto's lineup has a lot of power, but Hernandez dominated the Blue Jays on the road earlier in the season and I expect him to do that once again tonight. With Hernandez having a decent outing and with Johnson struggling once again, I can only expect Seattle to pick up a comfortable win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 974 Seattle Mariners RL -1 (w/ F. Hernandez) @ -125 / 1.80 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/01: Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox

MLB - 917 Seattle Mariners @ 918 Boston Red Sox

(Starting Pitchers: F. Hernandez vs R. Dempster)

Felix Hernandez will start for the Mariners tonight and he keeps being the #1 SP on my league rankings. Hernandez allowed just one run in an almost complete game against Minnesota. He had five days of rest for tonight's game and looking at his current form, he has every condition to have another quality outing today. On the other side, Boston will start Ryan Dempster, who allowed two runs over 5.1 innings against the Orioles last Saturday. This was the seventh start in a row where Dempster couldn't make it to the 7th inning, thanks to a lot of walks, poor control and a high P/IP count. Yesterday's game only ended in the 15th inning and Boston's best relievers were all used yesterday. Seattle's offense is very dangerous against RH pitchers (.273 BA vs RHP L10 games) and so, I believe they will produce some runs tonight, while Hernandez will be dominant as usual. Therefore, I'll be taking Seattle in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 917 Seattle Mariners ML (w/ F. Hernandez) @ -103 / 1.97 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners

MLB - 927 Minnesota Twins @ 928 Seattle Mariners

(Starting Pitchers: S. Diamond vs F. Hernandez)

Seattle is according to my numbers the #2 offense in the league over the last month and they will have in the mount tonight Felix Hernandez, the best SP in the edge according to my rankings. Therefore, this is an absolutely lethal combination. Minnesota's offense has been struggling and with the also struggling Scott Diamond on the mount tonight, I don't expect miracles to happen in here. The red hot Mariners should win tonight's game very easily and so, I'll be taking them on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 928 Seattle Mariners RL -1.5 (w/ F. Hernandez) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 07/04: Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers

MLB - 923 Seattle Mariners @ 924 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: H. Iwakuma vs M. Perez)

It seems that Hisashi Iwakuma is now hitting a wall. After an amazing run of two and a half months, Iwakuma has now allowed four runs in each of his last three starts. It's especially remarkable that he allowed five homeruns on his last two games, even though he was playing at home in a pitcher-friendly park! Iwakuma didn't face a single good offense on his last six outings, but the truth is that Texas isn't also hitting very well right now. But still, I expect the Rangers to be able to take advantage of Iwakuma's poor current form.

Texas will have Martin Perez as their pitcher tonight. He is coming from 6.2 shutout innings against the Reds and he has now a 2-1 record and a great 2.37 ERA in three starts this season. He won at St Louis as a big underdog and then dominated an elite team versus LH pitchers (Cincinnati), so no doubt that he is in good form right now. Seattle is a subpar team versus LH pitchers with just .236 BA versus LH pitchers on their last 10 games. They struggled against Derek Holland yesterday and they only scored two runs against Travis Wood on their series against the Cubs, while they were dominated by Jeff Locke when they faced the Pirates. Therefore, I expect Perez to have another good outing today, leading his team to a comfortable win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 924 Texas Rangers ML (w/ M. Perez) @ -127 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/03: Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers

MLB - 967 Seattle Mariners @ 968 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: F. Hernandez vs D. Holland)

Seattle absolutely crushed Justin Grimm yesterday, while Texas's struggling offense couldn't do anything special against Joe Saunders even though the Rangers had great AB's numbers against him prior to yesterday's game. Tonight the Mariners are starting Felix Hernandez, who is coming from a subpar outing against Pittsburgh at home, where he had a 11/2 K/BB ratio, but where he couldn't win the decision. Felix's last three games were against red hot offenses: Pittsburgh (#11 on wRC+ L30 days), LA Angels (#2) and Oakland (#9). Felix only struggled against the Angels, but I would say that he is currently playing at his natural great level. He had two starts against Texas earlier on the season and he lost both games, who were played in Seattle! The difference is that Texas' offense had a plus value offense at the time, with their wRC+ being above the league's average, while things are different this time with Texas being #27 in the league on wRC+ over the last 30 and 14 days! Therefore, I expect Hernandez to dominate tonight.

Texas will start Derek Holland, who is coming from a huge game against the Yankees in NY, where he played a complete game. But the key in that game was the Yankees' offense, who was slumping at the time and so, Holland had a very favorable matchup. He has been pitching well, but Seattle's offense is currently on a 4-games run where they are showing good offense and so, I don't expect the gap between offenses tonight to be considerable. As Felix will give the Mariners some SP edge in here tonight, I believe Seattle has excellent value as underdogs tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 967 Seattle Mariners ML (w/ F. Hernandez) @ +126 / 2.26 on Bovada

MLB Premium Play 06/29: Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners

MLB - 979 Chicago Cubs @ 980 Seattle Mariners

(Starting Pitchers: J. Samardzija vs A. Harang)

Seattle will start Aaron Harang tonight, who is being super inconsistent. He is coming from a start against Oakland, where he was only able to pitch for five innings, but where he limited damage with three runs allowed. Before that, he had allowed four runs (one earned) at LA against the Angels, even though he allowed eleven hits in that game! On the previous game, he had dominated Houston with a 10/0 K/BB ratio! Still, his lack of consistency makes him good fade material when he is involved on a pitchers-duel against a talented SP like Jeff Samardzija. 

Samardzija wasn't sharp against Houston, but a letdown was inevitable given his workload on his previous start, where he threw 112 pitchers or more on his previous four starts! Samardzija threw "just" 92 pitches against the Astros and with five days of rest between games, he will be ready to roll tonight. With both offenses being similar according to my rankings and with the Cubs having a clear SP edge in here, I believe the Cubs will pick up a good road team tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 979 Chicago Cubs ML (w/ J. Samardzija) @ -101 / 1.99 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 06/18: Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels

MLB - 923 Seattle Mariners @ 924 Los Angeles Angels

(Starting Pitchers: J. Bonderman vs J. Blanton)

The Angels are coming from a game last night where they had a season high 21 hits. Tonight they will face Jeremy Bonderman, who will make his fourth start this season. He started with a poor outing at Minnesota with seven runs allowed in 4.2 innings, but then he had nice back to back outings. The key in here is to realize that his last two starts were at home, something that helped him a lot, while he faced the Yankees and the Astros, two teams that are #29 and #30 in the league on OPS over the last 14 days with .611 and .607 respectively! Now against the Angels, who are #2 on this rank with .824 OPS over the last two weeks, things will be completely different. Therefore, I expect the red hot Angels' lineup to pound Bonderman tonight and so, I'll be taking the LA team to go Over their team total on tonight's game.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 924 Los Angeles Angels Team Total Over 4.5 (w/ J. Bonderman) @ -130 / 1.77 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 06/16: Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics

MLB - 925 Seattle Mariners @ 926 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: H. Iwakuma vs B. Colon)

Both teams are definitely struggling to score on this series, as the first two games ended with 2-3 and 4-0 results. Both Seattle and Oakland are showcasing good starting pitching, good bullpen action, while offenses are showing that they aren't good enough to outplay the good pitching. Oakland can be an elite hitting team against LH pitchers, but the story is completely different against RH pitchers, while Seattle is an overall poor hitting team.

I believe today's game will be similar to the first two games of this series, as both starting pitchers are currently on fire right now. Seattle will start Hisashi Iwakuma today, who is coming for today's game with five days of rest and he is also coming from three outings where he didn't allow a single earned run! His command has also been great, while he has also only allowed 4, 3 and 7 hits in these games. The same can be said about Bartolo Colon, Oakland's starting pitcher for today, who allowed just 0, 1, 0 and 0 earned runs on his last four games! Of course Colon had some favorable matchups, including the struggling Yankees, an unfocused Milwaukee due to some doping news, the White Sox and Houston. However, Seattle can be also considered as a favorable matchup for Colon, as they are #24 in the league versus RH pitchers with just .223 BA on their last 10 games against them. I expect this game to be another low scoring game between these two teams and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 925/926 Under 7 (w/ H. Iwakuma & B. Colon) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 06/15: Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics

MLB - 977 Seattle Mariners @ 978 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: F. Hernandez vs A. Griffin)

Seattle will start their ace Felix Hernandez tonight, who is coming from dominating the Yankees with just one run allowed in seven innings. He had five days of rest to prepare tonight's game and he has been great this season on this spot with a 2.28 ERA and .627 OPS when he has 5 days of rest! The Athletics are a good hitting team versus LH pitchers, but they tend to struggle much more against RH pitchers such as Hernandez. Therefore, I expect "King" Hernandez to have another great outing at Oakland tonight.

The Athletics will start A.J. Griffin, who is coming from a start against the White Sox, where he allowed four runs on 7.1 innings. Griffin has been very inconsistent this season and I can't trust him to be perfect tonight, as that's exactly what Oakland will need from him, as Hernandez is likely to dominate Oakland's lineup tonight. I believe Seattle has a lot of value tonight as the underdogs, therefore I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 977 Seattle Mariners ML (w/ F. Hernandez) @ +102 / 2.02 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 05/22: Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels

MLB - 973 Seattle Mariners @ 974 Los Angeles Angels

(Starting Pitchers: B. Mauer vs C. Wilson)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY - SPLIT THE WAGER***

It seems like the Angels have woken up. They have gotten three wins in a row with their offense playing well. Both Albert Pujols and Josh Hamilton have hit over .270 BA over the past week and with that combined with some nice pitching, the Angels have back at being very competitive, something that should happen today once again with Wilson. The Angels will face Mauer today, who has already faced the Angels at home earlier on the season and he dominated them with a shutdown over 6.1 innings. However, he has been struggling as of late with 6/4, 4/2 and 2/2 K/BB ratios, while allowing homeruns in each of these outings. He won't stand a chance with his red hot Angels' offense!

On the other hand, Wilson has been pitching much better lately and he looked good on his last two outings against the White Sox. With the Angels pounding Mauer and with Wilson doing a decent job today against the Mariners, I expect the Angels to have an easy win today. Therefore, I'll be taking both the Angels on the runline and the over on the LA's team total for today. Split the wager!

Pick: 2 units on 974 Los Angeles Angels Over 4,5 @ -130 / 1.77 on Betonline

Pick: 2 units on 974 Los Angeles Angels RL -1.5 (w/ C. Wilson) @ +105 / 2.05 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 04/22: Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

MLB - 971 Seattle Mariners @ 972 Houston Astros

(Starting Pitchers: F. Hernandez vs B. Peacock)

On his first four starts of the season, Felix Hernandez has already faced three offensive teams in Oakland, Texas and Detroit. On his last outing against the Tigers, he was simply phenomenal with a 12/0 K/BB ratio and his advanced numbers show his great performance: 0.00 ERA, 0.03 FIP and 0.38 xFIP! He will have a favorable matchup tonight against the little hitting Astros, where only two players have previous AB's against Hernandez for a combined of 2-20 .100 BA!

On the other side, I expect the Mariners's offense to wake up tonight. Brad Peacock didn't impress on his first three starts, with a 15/7 K/BB ratio that didn't impress anybody and this is why he is yet to reach the 6th inning on an outing this season. His 60% FB% rate is also worrying, as it makes him homerun prone, something problematic against Seattle's power lineup. There is also the fact that he has already pitched against the Mariners this season, where he had a lucky outing with a 5.40 ERA, 8.23 FIP and 5.55 xFIP! This time, I expect the Mariners to pound him, while Felix will dominate, allowing Seattle to have an easy win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 971 Seattle Mariners RL -1 (w/ F. Hernandez) @ -137 / 1.73 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 04/01: Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics

MLB - 921 Seattle Mariners @ 922 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: F. Hernandez vs B. Anderson)

There isn't a lot to say about Felix Hernandez. He's a monster, he signed a mega deal on this offseason and if you think that he wouldn't be focused and distracted because of that, you need to check his Spring Training numbers: 17 strikeouts and 2 walks on his 4 appearances during Spring Training! I don't even need to mention his micro ERA on Spring Training because honestly these numbers don't mean a lot. But what it matters in here is his absurdly great control is already making victims this season.

Oakland is coming from a phenomenal last season, with some incredible clutch pitching and hitting. However, I expect them to regress this season, while I also expect Seattle to improve, as their offense should be much better this season than it was last season. This left a good indication of that in the preseason with some interesting offensive numbers, with batters like Kendrys Morales and Michael Morse boosting the team's offensive numbers, while even Jason Bay and Raul Ibanez had surprisingly good Spring Training numbers. Brett Anderson will start for Oakland today and he had a rough Spring Training with some injuries (as usual, this time it's the shoulder bothering him). He didn't show a good control and the current Mariners's roster is batting a robust .302 BA against him! 

Seattle will have a clear pitching edge tonight and in my opinion, they will also have some hitting edge tonight with their improved offense. Therefore, I'll be taking the Mariners tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 921 Seattle Mariners ML (w/ F. Hernandez) @ +101 / 2.01 on 5Dimes