NBA Free Premium Play 03/01: Golden State Warriors @ Boston Celtics

Golden State  at Boston

NBA - 809 Golden State Warriors @ 810 Boston Celtics Projected Line: 195 points Stephen Curry had a monster game at NY against the Knicks, where he was virtually unstoppable with 11-13 3pts and a league high 54 points for the season! This is particularly remarkable, as he had already played very well in the previous day at Indiana against the #1 ranked defense in the league, with 14-20 FG, 7-10 3pts and 38 points! But the main problem for Curry tonight is that he is human! So, it is natural that he will have a physical letdown today after such a huge effort in back to back games against top teams. Now on a poor spot, as the Warriors will be playing their third game in four nights, all on the road, not only Curry will struggle due to the spot, as he will also be facing the single worst possible matchup in the league for him, with Avery Bradley and Courtney Lee. And it seems that they are ready to face Curry tonight: "The pitbull is not letting that go down," Courtney Lee said while pointing at Avery Bradley. "And when the pitbull gets tired, you've got the other pitbull right here growling." As obvious, Boston's defense with these two players is #1 in the league on pick and roll ball handler defense with just 0.71 PPP. In fact, Boston is also #2 in the league in spot up defense with 0.87 PPP. Just the fact that the Celtics are an elite defensive team on these two areas turns them immediately a tough matchup for the Warriors, who rely on pick and rolls and spot up plays on their offense. If we add to the fact that Golden State isn't on a good spot for tonight and it seems clear to me that their offense is going to struggle on this contest. On the other side, Boston is returning home from a long West Coast road trip and they had three days off for tonight, so it's normal that they will feel some rustiness on this contest. Golden State has been atrocious on rim defense without Andrew Bogut, Coach Jackson has been forced to play David Lee and Carl Landry together on the frontcourt, two poor defensive players. The good news for the Warriors is that Boston doesn't have a powerful frontcourt unit, as Kevin Garnett and Brandon Bass are mid-range jump shooters and Boston doesn't attempt a high volume of shots at the rim on their games. In fact, we are in front of two jump shooting teams on this contest. We won't see a lot of easy points down low tonight, but rather an absurd number of long range shots and on this potential scenario, both teams aren't on a good spot to perform at their best. Therefore, I see this contest being a relatively low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 809/810 Under 198,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes TO PURCHASE MY NBA PACKAGE FOR FRIDAY, SIMPLY CLICK HERE - just 20$!