(Starting Pitchers: J. Samardzija vs A. Burnett)
I believe we have nice value on the Cubs as road underdogs today. The Pirates will send their ace Burnett to the mount today, who is coming from his best season since he signed a mega deal with the NY Yankees a few seasons ago. However, Burnett has said recently that he might retire by the end of this season, something that makes me believe that he won't be focused at this start of the season. He pitched for just 11 innings during Spring Training and without great results. Of course it was just the preseason, but I really don't like his spot for today's game.
Nobody likes the Cubs and once again nobody expects them to be decent this season. However, in my opinion, they are one of the most underrated teams in the league right now. But what I really like today is Samardzija's matchup against the Pirates's offense. He had a breakout season last year with an elite 180/56 K/BB ratio in 174.1 innings! He absolutely dominated the Pirates twice last season with a 1.06 ERA and 14/2 K/BB ratio, while the Pirates's batters had a ridiculous 0.091 BA against him! The good news for the Cubs is that Samardzija enjoyed a pretty good Spring Training, while showing some impeccable control: 14/0 K/BB ratio! Therefore, I see value on the Cubs as a road underdog today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905 Chicago Cubs ML (w/ J. Samardzija) @ +118 / 2.18 on Bovada
No comments:
Post a Comment