NBA - 745 Indiana Pacers @ 746 Los Angeles Clippers
Projected Line: 185 points
We will have a pure halfcourt battle in here. The Clippers have been playing at a ridiculously slow pace lately by averaging a pace factor of 87.2 on their last 10 games! If we exclude their game at Houston that was a run and gun game due to the Rockets, the Clippers's three previous games at Dallas, at New Orleans and at San Antonio had ridiculous slow paces of 89.06, 79.62 and 84.23 respectively! They will now face Indiana, a team that will be more than glad to play on halfcourt tonight. The Pacers are #1 in the league on transition defense and without their usual fast break points, the Clippers are completely dependent from Chris Paul on halfcourt, while the Pacers's great interior defense will limit Blake Griffin. The Clippers's PF had a great game at Indiana earlier on the season with 7-10 FG, 18 points and 14 rebounds, but Roy Hibbert didn't play due to the suspension and that was the main reason why Blake had a great performance against the Pacers.
Indiana is coming from a win at Phoenix, on a very high scoring game, something that wasn't a surprise for me as I took the Over in that game on a Triple Dime Play! Phoenix's defense was too undersized to defend Indiana's frontcourt and so, Roy Hibbert shot 7-17 FG and David West 6-11 FG, while the Pacers as a team scored 50 points in the paint. Roy Hibbert has been much better on offense lately than earlier on the season, however he had easy matchups on his team's last three games against Houston, Dallas and Phoenix. The Clippers will be a much tougher obstacle, as the LA team has allowed just 62% FG at the rim on their last 10 games, while they are also a top 10 team in the league on post up defense. I expect a slow paced game, where both defenses will outplay the opposing offenses, therefore I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 745/746 Under 188 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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