NBA Free Premium Play 04/03: Washington Wizards @ Toronto Raptors

Washington  at Toronto

NBA - 503 Washington Wizards @ 504 Toronto Raptors  Projected Line: 197 points The Wizards defeated Chicago at home yesterday and without using their starters a lot. In fact, it was the Wizards's bench that was the key for their win. Only John Wall played 37 minutes, with all the other starters playing 28 minutes or less than that. When I first started looking at this rematch from last Sunday, I had a pre-game lean on Toronto due to a potential letdown spot for Washington, especially after a big win against the Bulls last night. I was expecting to see the Wizards's starters playing around 40 minutes yesterday, but they didn't, so I don't expect them to be on a typical "dead legs" spot tonight. Their game was against the Bulls was a classic grind out game. That wasn't a surprise because that Chicago's style. Things will be different tonight, as Toronto's defense doesn't have a tenth of the quality of the Bulls's defense. The Raptors had a defensive rating of 120 of worse on seven of their last eight games, while allowing 42.6% 3pts over their last 10 games and showing a horrible transition defense with 1.30 PPP allowed! These are good news for Washington, who is crushing their opponents in transition with John Wall, while they have been also solid from behind the line. So, it isn't a surprise that Washington torched Toronto with 9-17 3pts and 16 fast break points last Sunday night, for a total of 109 points scored. While I don't expect Washington to have such a great offensive game tonight, I expect Toronto to have better numbers than they had last Sunday. It's important to note that the Raptors scored 25+25+26 points on the first three quarters, just to score 16 points on the final quarter. I've been criticizing the Raptors's ball movement lately since the Rudy Gay trade, but the truth is that they have been showing some improvement on that area with 20, 25, 21 and 24 assists on their last four games, while they had only dished 17, 16, 15, 18, 19 and 13 assists on their previous six games! After their big game yesterday against Chicago, I don't expect the Wizards to be fully focused on this game, especially on defense. However, I believe the Wizards will take advantage of the several open looks they will have on offense tonight, turning this game into a high scoring affair. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 503/504 Over 193,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker