NBA - 509 Houston Rockets @ 510 New Jersey Nets
Projected line: 187 points | Houston by 12 points
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
The Nets are coming from a win on the road last night against the Bobcats, but where Deron Williams left the game in the second quarter with a sore right calf and the lack of a creator was blatantly evident on the Nets offense. They didn’t get many open looks without their best scorer and passer on the floor. As a result, the Nets ran a fair amount of isolation plays and dished just 17 assists against the lowly Bobcats. They shot 4-10 FG on ISO plays and 4-17 FG on spot ups! Note that the Nets second best player Humphries played 45 minutes, so he should be exhausted for tonight's game against the Rockets, especially when this will be the 4th game in 5 nights for the Nets. Their lack of continuity on offense is evident, as after an 18-2 run gave the Nets an 12-point lead midway through the first quarter, they led by 11 midway through the second, but scored just six points over the last 6:39 of the period and led by just four at the half! The Bobcats took the lead early in the third quarter, but a 13-0 Nets run spanning the third and fourth quarters put them back up nine, and they held on for their third win of the season!
New Jersey is 1-5 ATS as a home dog on back to back games and this is really a terrible spot for them. On the other hand, Houston is 0-5 on their last 5 games and after a good effort on OT losses against the Clippers and in Boston, they couldn't handle the bad spot and lost at Toronto by 98-116! Lowry is out for tonight, so Dragic will start and he has been by far the best player of the Rockets in their last game. His impact on offense is quite evident with a +5.52 trade off value in/off court. The Rockets are on a bounce back spot and they will clearly have a bounce back spot for sure over the tired Nets who will be playing without Deron. Therefore, it won't be hard for the Rockets to have a good defensive game today, while exploring the poor defense of the Nets. So, I expect an easy for Houston tonight and I'll take them in here in a Double Dime Play! As I expect the Nets to be completely shutdown on offense tonight, I'll be also taking the Under in here.
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 509 Houston Rockets (-6,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 509/510 Under 190 @ -110 / 1.91 on -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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