NBA - 541 Washington Wizards @ 542 Dallas Mavericks
Projected line: 191 points | Dallas by 16 points
***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***
***TOP PLAY***
Yesterday Washington scored 97 points at San Antonio and had a controlled offense with just 10 turnovers. They took advantage of the Spurs poor transition defense to score 23 fast break points with 9-10 FG in transition. The problem was that they practically just shot from the perimeter, as they scored just 30 points in the paint with 13-25 FG at the rim and 1-5 FG from 3-9 feet, while they shot 13-28 FG from 16-23 feet and 8-17 3pts! Against the patient defense of the Mavs, who will even use zone defense, Washington is very likely to struggle offensively tonight on a back to back spot.
The Wizards were just terrible offensively on their last three back to back games on the road, as they scored 64 points in Chicago, 83 points in Philadelphia and 84 points in LA against the Clippers! On the other hand, Dallas is coming from three losses in a row on three nights, so we are talking about a team in full alert mode with two days off to rest. Dallas' defense will be better tonight, as their legs will be fresher than in their last games. Marion will guard Wall and when Wall is well defended, the Wizards offense completely collapses. Dallas' offense will have a bounce back game, but they have been struggling with their ball movement since the All Star break with several players struggling, so I don't believe in an explosive game on the offense for them neither. With both teams struggling tonight on offense, especially Washington, I came up with a totals projection of 191 points, low enough for me to take the Under in here in a Triple Dime Play! Considering the fact I expect Washington to struggle so much offensively tonight that I'll be also take Dallas in here in a Single Dime Play.
Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 541/542 Under 200.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 542 Dallas Mavericks (-12,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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