Saturday, March 17, 2012

NBA Premium Play 03/16: Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers


NBA - 803 Miami Heat @ 804 Philadelphia 76ers

Projected line: 185 points | Miami by 7 points

Philadelphia is coming from a loss against Indiana, where they had their worst defensive showing of the season by allowing 136.5 offensive rates to the Pacers. Their starting center Hawes was back, but he struggled and was bossed around by every member of the Pacers frontcourt! On the other hand, Miami lost in Chicago, with huge games by Lebron and Wade, but the Bulls did a great job in limiting Bosh and they didn't let any of the other Heat players to score. Plus the Bulls also grabbed a lot of offensive boards.

In this game's matchup, Bosh will have a mismatch and the Sixers frontcourt won't surely be able to handle the Heat's frontcourt and Lebron's and Wade's penetrations into the basket. Turner will get burn out from having to defend Wade and he will be too tired to have a good offensive game. I expect a bounce back from the Heat tonight against a team who lacks quality on their frontcourt and in their offensive rebounding skills to make Miami struggle. Therefore, I expect a comfortable win for the Heat tonight and so, I'll take them in here. I expect the Sixers to struggle to produce any kind of decent offense today and therefore, I'll be also take the Under on this contest.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 803/804 Under 189 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 803 Miami Heat (-3,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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