MLB - 957 St Louis Cardinals @ 958 Cincinnati Reds
(Starting Pitchers: S. Miller vs B. Arroyo)
Both teams have been poor as of late, but they are actually both coming from a win on their last game. Shelby Miller will start for the Cardinals tonight and he is in complete decline right now. He allowed three runs (two earned) in 5.2 innings against Atlanta last Sunday and even though he had a 2.78 ERA in July, the truth is that his advanced numbers told another story with 4.06 FIP and 4.10 xFIP, while also doubling his BB% with 10.5%! No wonder he can't go deep on his starts anymore!
On the other hand, Bronson Arroyo will start for the Reds tonight and I believe he will have a nice spot in here. St Louis is coming from five games in four days at Pittsburgh and so, this won't be a nice spot for them, as they had to travel to Cincinnati, while the Reds had an off day yesterday. Arroyo has been decent on his last five starts, where he hasn't allowed more than 5 earned runs in any of these outings, even though he faced tough opponents like the Dodgers, Atlanta or Seattle. He doesn't have great career numbers against St Louis, but he allowed just two earned runs on each of his starts against St Louis. I see Cincinnati having a nice spot + SP edge for tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 958 Cincinnati Reds ML (w/ B. Arroyo) @ -107 / 1.93 on Bovada
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