Saturday, September 1, 2012

MLB Premium Play 08/31: New York Mets @ Miami Marlins


MLB - 905 New York Mets @ 906 Miami Marlins

(Starting Pitchers: R. Dickey vs N. Eovaldi)

The Mets will start their ace Dickey tonight and he is coming from two great outings, including a total domination against the Astros on Saturday, where he allowed just one run in seven innings. He had just a poor outing against the Reds earlier on this month, but against lowly teams like Miami, he has been very dominant, with excellent advance numbers. He has already faced the Marlins three times this season and he allowed just 1, 2 and 1 runs in those outings, so I expect him to dominate Miami once again tonight.

Miami will be starting the struggling Eovaldi, who is coming from a poor outing in LA against the Dodgers, where he allowed six earned runs and seven hits in just three innings. He has allowing a lot of homeruns and his command is simply terrible. He is posting a 6.23 ERA, 6.24 FIP and 6.27 xFIP in August, so I expect him to not be as lucky as he was on his last outing against the Mets, where he didn't allow a single run to the Mets offense, even though he walked six batters and had a 5.90 FIP and 7.37 xFIP in that game. This time, I expect Eovaldi to allow some runs and that will be enough for the Mets to get the win tonight, as they'll have Dickey on the mount.

With a massive SP edge on this contest, the Mets should have no problems in scoring some runs on the struggling Eovaldi and get the win on this contest. Therefore, I'll be taking the Mets in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905 New York Mets ML (w/ R. Dickey) @ -143 / 1.70 on 5Dimes

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