Saturday, September 1, 2012

MLB Free Premium Play 09/01: Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

  
Tampa Bay  at Toronto 
MLB - 967 Tampa Bay Rays @ 968 Toronto Blue Jays


(Starting Pitchers: J. Niemann vs H. Alvarez)


The Rays will start Niemann today and he is coming back from injury today. He has in Toronto a good matchup, as only Lind has good numbers against him (13-29), as Encarnacion is 1-12 against him, Escobar 0-12, Rasmus 1-6, Torrealba 1-4, Johnson 3-11 and Vizquel 1-4! Therefore, I believe Niemann will comeback today at a decent level, something that should be enough to handle the current lineup of the Blue Jays.

On the other hand, Alvarez is coming from an outing against the Yankees, where he had to leave the game after 3.1 innings due to injury. He has struggled in August with a 0-4 record and a 7.77 ERA. He is clearly regressing after a strong early season and he keeps being pounded on his recent outings. He allowed four runs and five hits to the Yankees in just 3.1 IP and always looked in trouble in every inning. He has already faced the Rays three times this season and he always struggled with 6, 4 and 6 runs allowed, with the Rays roster hitting .330 BA and .919 OPS in 94 AB's against him. Therefore, I expect Tampa Bay to put him in a lot of trouble today once again.

With Alvarez in more than likely trouble today and with Niemann having a good matchup today, I believe that the Rays should have a comfortable win today and so, I'll take them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 967 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ J. Niemann) @ -146 / 1.69 on 5Dimes

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