NBA Free Premium Play 02/03: Indiana Pacers @ Dallas Mavericks

Indiana  at Dallas

NBA - 817 Indiana Pacers @ 818 Dallas Mavericks Projected line: 195 points Indiana's offense has been better lately, due to Granger's improvements. In their last three games, they had offensive rates of 116.42, 115.21 and 110.28, with Granger shooting 9-19 FG, 6-15 FG but 9-9 FT, 10-20 FG, 7-16 FG and 9-16 FG on the Pacers last 5 games! As a team, Indiana is shooting much better at the rim lately, with 63% FG on their last 5 games, while their season average is just 57%! They are coming for this game in a good moment. They have set up a faster pace lately and in their last game in Minnesota, the game has a super quick pace of 101.9! Today, Indiana has a physical superiority against Dallas and for sure, their gameplan will come from outgunning Dallas and abuse them physically! On the other side, Dallas will Beaubois is playing faster than they were with Kidd. In fact, their backcourt have been excellent lately with Beaubois + West + Carter + Terry, with a good ball movement and a good bench! The problem has been Dirk, who is coming from a terrible game against Oklahoma City, where he shot 2-15 FG and to make things worst, Carter shot 3-10 FG and Beaubois 3-13 FG in that game, so these three starters combined a shooting of 8-38 FG in that game! So, I believe in an offensive bounce back from Dallas tonight! Indiana's defense is very aggressive and against a team with good ball movement, they can be exposed in spot up plays! Before facing the Thunder, Dallas was coming from three straight good offensive games and I expect them to comeback to their good offense tonight. On the other side, Indiana is also playing much better offensively lately and so, I came up with a totals projection of 195 points, high enough for me to take the over in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 817/818 Over 192 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes