NBA - 507 San Antonio Spurs @ 508 Philadelphia 76ers
Projected line: 184 points | pk line
San Antonio is 5-0 on their last 5 games and they are coming from a road win against Memphis, who were tired and without Tony Allen. Still, the Spurs defense was good by limiting the inside game of the Grizzlies (13-27 FG rim + 1-9 FG 3-9 feet) and so, Memphis struggled to score as they aren't a good jump shooting team! Both Parker and Duncan had big game, but Parker
while playing a spectacular first half, was held to a very mortal second half as Memphis got away with a lot of physical play! This game will be a good matchup for both teams, as both have a good bench to keep them going toe-to-toe. Tim Duncan has been very well lately, but the good news for the Sixers is that Elton Brand is back. Both teams don't commit turnovers and both have super low opp FT/rates!
Philadelphia is coming from a good win against the Lakers, where they had to fight a huge size disadvantage, as they were completely outrebounded: 19% vs 48.8% on offreb/rates! Still, the Sixers were able to win the game via a good perimeter game: 15-34 FG 16-23 feet and 8-17 3pts, with a terrific ball movement! As crazy as it seems, the Lakers didn't take a lot of advantage from their size advantage, as they shot just 10-16 FG at the rim and 5-11 FG from 3-9 feet! The
Sixers rely way too much on long twos, the Spurs love teams to take long twos against them because they are a good defensive rebound team and they don't commit a lot of fouls. San Antonio has enough offensive weapons to go head-to-head on this game, as they also have a great outside shooting game and Philadelphia won't have the bench edge they use to have in most of their games. They are usually able of wearing down their opponents in the 3rd quarter thanks to that, but I don't expect that to happen today. Therefore, I'll take the Spurs today. I'll also take the over in here, as I see both teams having enough offensive weapons and depth to keep having decent offense throughout the whole game.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 507/508 Over 181 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 507 San Antonio Spurs (+3,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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