NBA - 511 Utah Jazz @ 512 Dallas Mavericks
Projected line: 181 points | Dallas by 12 points
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
Dallas is currently on a losing streak and with severe problems on their chemistry, especially on the offensive end. Dirk is now struggling to hit his shots, while Jason Kidd is in poor form and shooting terrible as usual. Also Carter and Terry are struggling offensively, so they are definitely struggling on the offense. Since the All Star break, Dallas has had offensive rates of 98.5 93.0 and 106! The main problem is that these numbers were against bad defensive teams, as even Memphis isn't a top 5 defensive team. The Mavs will be on a tough spot for them, as it will be their 4th game in 5 days and also a back to back game, however note that Utah is on the same spot as well. So, I don't believe in a huge offensive boost for the Mavs tonight, as they will focus on shutting down the Jazz offense by playing a half court game.
The series is currently at 2-0 for Dallas, with both games going over the total line with 185 and 217 points scored, however note that these two games had slow paces of 86.5 and 87.4! Utah is coming from a monster game against Miami last night, where they didn't shoot very well, but they had a super effort on the boards, with an incredible 23 offensive rebounds vs 8 from Miami! Big Al, Millsap and Howard played more than 30 minutes, so this is a clear letdown spot for them. They continue to struggle on shooting from the outside, so Dallas will use some zone defense to stop the inside game of the Jazz, something that they will do with a lot of success, considering the tired legs of the Jazz players. I expect a comfortable win for Dallas tonight, on a complete shutdown of Utah's offense, so I'll be taking Dallas in here on a Single Dime Play and the Under on a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 511/512 Under 187 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 512 Dallas Mavericks (-7,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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