Milwaukee at Orlando
NBA - 501 Milwaukee Bucks @ 502 Orlando Magic
Projected line: 195 points
Milwaukee is coming from a loss in Atlanta, where they choked big time and got outplayed by the Hawks 2nd unit! Milwaukee had a lot of problems offensively by shooting just 37,6% FG, with Delfino just 1-10 FG and Gooden 8-21 FG! Still, the Bucks continue to keep grabbing offensive boards and scoring in transition. On the other hand, Atlanta shot 7-10 FG in transition and scored 46 points in the paint, in a clear sign of Milwaukee's poor interior defense. The Hawks only problem on offense were the 24 turnovers, which 11 of them were via steals from the Bucks.
Tonight's game will be the season finale of this series, with Orlando having won the first three games. In all three games, Orlando had to make a late comeback to win them! Howard's edge over Milwaukee has been evident, as in three games against Milwaukee, he has averaged 21.7 points and 16.7 rebounds per game, but had just 11 points on 5-of-15 shooting (and 14 rebounds) in their first meeting! Milwaukee with a good ball movement and with good guards will have some edge on the offense, while Orlando with Howard will have a spread offense ready to have a good game. Therefore, I expect both games to have at least decent offensive games tonight and so, I came up with a totals projection of 195 points, enough for me to take the over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Over 190 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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