NBA Premium Card 04/08

NBA - 655 Dallas Mavericks @ 656 Dallas Mavericks

NBA - 657 Oklahoma City Thunder @ 658 Sacramento Kings

NBA - 659 Houston Rockets @ 666 Los Angeles Lakers

Play #1

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

***PARLAY PLAY***

Tonight’s card is a bit strange as all favorites are laying some large spreads… We are now entering the final stretch of the season in which we have to deal w/ teams fighting for the playoffs vs. “tanking teams”, obviously, the favorite teams are a bit inflated IMO especially on the road and so, I'm taking 3 of them in a Parlay of money-line's. 

DAL @ UTA:

We have the Mavericks that simply can’t afford tonight’s game @UTA! UTA is the perfect matchup for DAL’s offense… they are allowing 44.8% from 3pts in L10 games – by far the worst mark in the league! Also, their PNR defense is just atrocious (ranked #25 in PNR Ball Handler Plays), so the Mavericks will just crush them on the offensive end. DAL struggled @SAC mostly because Dirk Nowitzki had a rare “day off” w/ 5-17 FG! 

In the last H2H, the Mavericks went to UTA and won 108-101 in a tight game. However, note that DAL was playing @b2b spot (3rd game in 4 nights) and they had Dalembert involving in foul trouble – he played just 15 minutes in that game! Obviously, the Jazz being rested dominated the glass w/ 55% reb/rate and scored 56 points in the paint. I don’t expect such clear edge for the Jazz tonight…

OKC @ SAC:

OKC is just a tough matchup for the Kings (especially without I. Thomas who is OUT for tonight). SAC’s offensive flow has been poor at best and they exclusively depend of Rudy Gay & D. Cousins to do some damage offensively in order to be competitive. They were able to do that vs. DAL because both Gay and Cousins were highly efficient – Gay 12-18 FG & Cousins 12-23 FG! The problem is that OKC had some great size on their frontcourt to defend both players 1*1 and so, SAC offense will be in trouble! Note that in the last H2H, SAC has scored 15, 23 and 13 points in the first 3 quarters!

HOU @ LAL:

The Lakers don’t have the proper talent to play @ uptempo against the best offensive teams in the league and the Rockets are one of them! Their lack of interior defense will be a huge problem because they just can’t avoid the opp. guards to attack them off the dribble and finish near the basket – something that both J. Lin and J. Harden really excels.

 

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 3-Team Parlay 655 Dallas Mavericks ML x 657 Oklahoma City Thunder ML x 659 Houston Rockets ML @ -102 / 1.98 on Betonline