NBA - 803 Cleveland Cavaliers @ 804 New York Knicks
Projected line: 184 points
***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***
Cleveland is coming from a blowout against Milwaukee, where they allowed 121 points. Offensively, the Cavs can't just score points. In their last 5 games, they had offensive rates of 93, 94, 97, 86.5 and 95.6 in their last 5 games! With Irving banged up and doubtful for today, Cleveland won't have a good spot to bounce back offensively on this game, as PG Donald Sloan may get his first NBA start today!
On the other hand, I don't believe the Knicks will have an offensive monster game today. First of all, this isn't a good spot for them, they have several players banged up and especially they won't have a PG for this game, as Lin is out of this game and Baron is also doubtful to play today. Therefore, we will see a lot of ISO ball once again (30% volume on ISO plays last night). They shot 9-25 FG on ISO plays last night against Atlanta, with both Melo and Shumpert having huge efforts and so, it will be hard for them to play as well today as they did yesterday.
Considering the problems both teams are currently dealing with, I expect both the Knicks and the Cavs to struggle on offense, especially Cleveland who will be playing without Irving. Therefore, I came up with a totals projection of 184 points, low enough for us to take the Under in here in a Triple Dime Play!
Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 803/804 Under 193 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
No comments:
Post a Comment