NFL Week 12 Premium Play 11/25: San Francisco 49ers @ Washington Redskins

NFL Week 12 - 233 San Francisco 49ers @ 234 Washington Redskins

Play #1

This game will be played on very cold temperatures between two teams who are indeed run oriented. While Washington has passed the ball 56% of the times and rushed 44%, San Francisco has rushed the football for 55% and passed only 45% of the time. The Redskins' defense has been a disaster all season long, but their run defense has been average over their last four games with 3.50%, 2.90%, -6.90% and -4.30% run defense DVOA. With LG Mike Iupati out of tonight's game, I expect the 49ers' running game to be less sharp than usual and with Colin Kaepernick lacking confidence after two poor games against Carolina and New Orleans, I believe that San Francisco's offense will indeed struggle tonight. I also believe Jim Harbaugh will want his team to be physical against Washington by pounding the ball and this will burn a lot of time from the clock.

On the other side, Washington's running game has been improving with the help with RGIII and that has been the key factor for their offense. In fact, over their last six games, they managed to get 24.90%, 20.50%, -2.70%, +19.00%, 12.60% and 24.90% on their running game DVOA! However, the 49ers' after a bye week are coming from two good defensive games against Carolina and New Orleans, where they lost but their defense did a good job. Therefore, I expect them to have another good performance tonight against the Redskins offense. I believe this game will be an old low-scoring affair between two teams who like to run the football a lot and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 233/234 Under 46 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

NFL Premium Play 09/15: Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts & Washington Redskins @ Green Bay Packers

NFL Week 2 - 201 Miami Dolphins @ 202 Indianapolis Colts
NFL Week 2 - 207 Washington Redskins @ 208 Green Bay Packers

***6,5 points Teaser***

I expect Andrew Luck to struggle today against the Dolphins. The Colts' OL was very poor last week against the Raiders and things will only get tougher for them today, as they will face Miami, a team that has one of the best pass rushes in the league. With Luck being rushed several times today and with his limited number of good receiving options being even more limited today due to TE Dwayne Allen's absence due to injury. On the other side, Miami's offense isn't a great unit and so, I don't expect them to have a big game today. Ryan Tannehill struggled last week when he was under pressure from the Browns' defense and I expect the Colts to try to get to the QB today, especially via Robert Mathis. Mike Wallace was barely featured on week 1's game at Cleveland due to Tannehill's struggles and I wouldn't be surprised if that happens once again today. Miami's running game is also quite weak, so I don't see how this game will be a high scoring one at all. 

Green Bay lost at San Francisco last week, but they left a good image especially from their passing game. They were up in the scoreboard at the end of the scoreboard and they only lost the game because of one or two plays that could have gone either way and went into 49ers's way. On the other hand, Washington was comfortable defeated by Philadelphia last Monday, when their defense just couldn't stop Chip Kelly's offense, while Robert Griffin III and Alfred Morris heavily disappointed with some really poor play. Even though I expect the Redskins' offense to play better today, I believe their defense will get crushed by Aaron Rodgers in bounce back mode. On a short week spot, after facing the very fast paced game of the Eagles, I believe this is the worst possible play for Washington's defense and so, they'll get crushed by Green Bay's powerful offense today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 201/202 Under 50 x 208 Green Bay Packers (-0,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NFL Premium Play 09/09: Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins

NFL Week 1 - 479 Philadelphia Eagles @ 480 Washington Redskins

Projected Line: Washington by 1 point

I believe Philadelphia's spot on their first few games of the season will be fairly positive for them. Their new head coach Chip Kelly is a revolutionary coach and his hurry-up/run-oriented offensive scheme will surprise their opponents, besides favoring Philadelphia's key players, especially Michael Vick and LeSean McCoy. Therefore, I expect Washington's defense to struggle tonight. On the other side, RG3 is coming back tonight, with no preseason player, so I believe he will be a bit rusty, not just physically, but also mindset wise. Philadelphia has a great spot to surprise tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here plus the points.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 479 Philadelphia Eagles (+4) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes