NFL Week 13 Premium Play 12/02: New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks

NFL Week 13 - 449 New Orleans Saints @ 450 Seattle Seahawks

Play #1

I know the tough weather conditions will favor Seattle tonight, but I still believe the Saints will make this game at least quite close. The Seahawks' offense is built around pounding the ball with RB Marshawn Lynch and it is undeniable that Lynch and the Seahawks will have the edge over the Saints' run defense that is just #29 in the league with 4.8 rushing yards allowed per carry. However, New Orleans's pass defense has been great this season for their traditional level and their pass rush has been really good. The Saints have a quick and athletic defense, so I don't believe Russell Wilson will have an easy game tonight, something that will put more pressure on Marshawn Lynch to carry his team on his shoulders. I'm sure he will make a couple of nice plays tonight, but I don't think he will blowout the Saints on his own.

As much as Seattle's pass defense is the best in the league and Drew Brees won't be on a dome tonight, the Saints' passing game is still very good and they will certainly make a couple of big plays tonight by exploring some nice matchups that they will have deep in the field, as Seattle is currently thin on depth at the CB position. However, it's on the running game that the Saints can make a clear damage on Seattle's defense. Not only the Saints' running game is starting to show up in good form over their last few games, as Seattle is just #20 in the league with 4.2 rushing yards allowed per carry. With Seattle paying a lot of attention on Drew Brees and the rest of the Saints' passing game, I wouldn't be surprised if New Orleans actually has a very interesting game on running the football tonight. I understand that Seattle has a slightly better spot for tonight (even though both teams are very well rested) and they have the tough home court advantage in here, but the Saints are generally always ready for prime time football and I don't think tonight will be different. Therefore, I expect a very close game and so, I'll be taking the Saints tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 449 New Orleans Saints (+6,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NFL Premium Play 09/15: San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks

NFL Week 2 - 221 San Francisco 49ers @ 222 Seattle Seahawks

Projected Line: San Francisco by 1 point

I watched both week 1 games involving these two teams and after that, it's hard not to like the 49ers in here. San Francisco is coming from a tremendous offensive performance against Green Bay, while their defense looked good against the run, but struggled against the pass thanks to a great performance by Aaron Rodgers. On the other hand, Seattle is coming from a very tough win at Carolina. The Panthers' OL crushed Seattle and opened a lot of space for their running game to have a great performance with 134 rushing yards (5.2 Y/C). Of course Seattle limited Cam Newton to just 125 passing yards, but San Francisco's offense will be a much tougher matchup for them. The difference will be especially on 3rd&short situations, where Colin Kaepernick has in Auquan Boldin and Vermon Davis two excellent solutions to grab the first down. 

On the other hand, Russell Wilson is coming from a really good performance against the Panthers with 25/33 and 320 yards, but they struggled on the red zone by going 0-3, possibly because of a poor performance of Marshawn Lynch. Things won't be any easier for Lynch against San Francisco's excellent run defense, so I wouldn't be surprised to see the Seahawks' offense to struggle once again tonight in capitalizing their great opportunities to score touchdowns. San Francisco was humiliated last season at Seattle and on this key divisional game, I believe the 49ers will be super fired up to win in here. Even though Seattle has been improving a lot over the past two seasons, I still rate San Francisco as the overall better team and on this specific spot, I expect them to overcome Seattle on a very physical battle. I'm taking the 49ers in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 221 San Francisco 49ers (+3) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker