NFL Week 13 Premium Play 12/02: New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks

NFL Week 13 - 449 New Orleans Saints @ 450 Seattle Seahawks

Play #1

I know the tough weather conditions will favor Seattle tonight, but I still believe the Saints will make this game at least quite close. The Seahawks' offense is built around pounding the ball with RB Marshawn Lynch and it is undeniable that Lynch and the Seahawks will have the edge over the Saints' run defense that is just #29 in the league with 4.8 rushing yards allowed per carry. However, New Orleans's pass defense has been great this season for their traditional level and their pass rush has been really good. The Saints have a quick and athletic defense, so I don't believe Russell Wilson will have an easy game tonight, something that will put more pressure on Marshawn Lynch to carry his team on his shoulders. I'm sure he will make a couple of nice plays tonight, but I don't think he will blowout the Saints on his own.

As much as Seattle's pass defense is the best in the league and Drew Brees won't be on a dome tonight, the Saints' passing game is still very good and they will certainly make a couple of big plays tonight by exploring some nice matchups that they will have deep in the field, as Seattle is currently thin on depth at the CB position. However, it's on the running game that the Saints can make a clear damage on Seattle's defense. Not only the Saints' running game is starting to show up in good form over their last few games, as Seattle is just #20 in the league with 4.2 rushing yards allowed per carry. With Seattle paying a lot of attention on Drew Brees and the rest of the Saints' passing game, I wouldn't be surprised if New Orleans actually has a very interesting game on running the football tonight. I understand that Seattle has a slightly better spot for tonight (even though both teams are very well rested) and they have the tough home court advantage in here, but the Saints are generally always ready for prime time football and I don't think tonight will be different. Therefore, I expect a very close game and so, I'll be taking the Saints tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 449 New Orleans Saints (+6,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NFL Premium Play 09/15: New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFL Week 2 - 213 New Orleans Saints @ 214 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Projected Line: New Orleans by 6 points

New Orleans is coming from a very good win over Atlanta, where their defense had a great performance for their usual level. Their blitzes are back now with Rob Ryan in here and the Saints' pass rush was able to put a lot of pressure on Matt Ryan at times. On the other hand, New Orleans's passing game showed its great level once again, with Drew Brees giving the team enough production for a good win for them against their traditional main divisional rival. Now against Tampa Bay, even though the Buccaneers will surely cause problems to the Saints' running game with their excellent run defense, Drew Brees has a variety of good receivers that will torch Tampa Bay's pass defense apart. Darrelle Revis is likely to do a good job on Marcus Colston, but he can't be everywhere and the rest of Tampa Bay's secondary doesn't have a lot of quality. If Geno Smith was able to connect 25+26+21 yards passes against them last week, then Drew Brees shouldn't have any problems in pounding the Bucs' defense one more time.

On the other side, Josh Freeman is slumping since the last month of the past season and this is causing a lot of issues on the team's overall offense. Things in the locker room aren't looking any better as well, with an incident involving the coach electing Freeman as a team captain without consulting the players, something that cause a huge turmoil, especially after Freeman overslept and missed a team meeting. Tampa Bay had just two rushing first downs last week, a clear sign of the propensity they have to get themselves into 3rd&long situations, the kind of spot that the Saints' blitz will love to attack. On the other hand, with Freeman and consequently the team's passing game struggling, all attention are on RB Doug Martin that won't have the space that he needs to use his explosion to grab some big plays. I clearly see New Orleans as the better team between these two right now and so, I expect the Saints to pick up a comfortable win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 213 New Orleans Saints (-3) @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker