MLB Free Premium Play 07/22: San Francisco Giants @ Philadelphia Phillies

MLB - 953 San Francisco Giants @ 954 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: Y. Petit vs. R. Hernandez)

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Yesterday, these two teams combined between them 29 hits, so they are coming for tonight’s contest w/ a nice offensive rhythm. With Petit and Hernandez on the mound, I don’t think that this is change dramatically for today.

Petit has been decent in a relief role and has a nice 3.86 ERA / 3.05 FIP / 3.34 xFIP line to show this season, but his struggles vs. LH batters are well noticed: .371 wOBA + 6.02 FIP + 4.45 xFIP! Yikes! Now, here some bad news for him…. PHI’s lineup for tonight:

1. Ben Revere (L) CF
2. Jimmy Rollins (S) SS
3. Chase Utley (L) 2B
4. Ryan Howard (L) 1B
5. Marlon Byrd (R) RF
6. Grady Sizemore (L) LF
7. Cody Asche (L) 3B
8. Cameron Rupp (R) C
9. Roberto Hernandez (R) P

He will face 6 LH batters w/ the first 4 of them hitting all from the left side! I expect him to struggle a bit in this bad matchup.

On the other end, I just don’t trust in Roberto Hernandez. He had a nice start @MIL just before the all star break but, once again, his K/BB numbers were subpar w/ 3/2. This could be problematic against a Giants’ offense that has been pretty decent in this 2nd half of season and is ranked #8 & #11 in L14 days in K% & BB% rates, so I expect them to make Hernandez work hard for his pitches.

With the two SP’s having tough matchups, I’m taking my chances w/ OVER at this 8-runs line.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 8 (w/ Y. Petit & R. Hernandez) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline