Tuesday, April 3, 2012

NBA Premium Play 04/02: Los Angeles Clippers @ Dallas Mavericks


NBA - 607 Los Angeles Clippers @ 608 Dallas Mavericks

Projected line: Dallas by 8 points

The Clippers will be outcoached today by Dallas! Chris Paul is banged up and Dallas has the tools to slow him down now that they have Delonte West, Jason Kidd and Shawn Marion available to defend him! Dallas is the #1 ranked defense in pick n rolls and #4 in defending spot up plays, so I expect the Clippers to struggle offensively, especially they lack a decent second unit. The Clippers may be 4-0 in their last 4 games, but their last three games were against teams who were in back to back spots. Now that they will be playing on the road against the Mavs on a neutral spot, I expect Dallas to beat them by more than two full possessions. Therefore, I'll take the Mavs tonight and the Under.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 608 Dallas Mavericks (-4,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 607/608 Under 189.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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