NBA - 515 Golden State Warriors @ 516 Los Angeles Lakers
Projected line: LA Lakers by 14 points
Yes, I'll be taking the Lakers in here on a double digits spread. It may seem silly to do such right now, however I like their mindset for today and especially their matchup against the Warriors. Golden State is in a declared tanking mode and playing with super small lineups and with inexperienced players. My analysis of this game was especially based on the last game between these two teams last week, where the Lakers barely won on the road. As expected, the Lakers completely dominated the boards with 17-8 on offensive rebounds or 38.6-18.6 on offensive rebound rates. They obviously had no trouble in scoring down low with 15-27 FG at the rim and 9-15 FG from 3-9 feet. Offensively, the only problem for the Lakers was Bynum with their ridiculous performance, where he shot 3-8 FG at the rim, before getting benched due to his silly 3pts attempt. In fact, the Lakers followed the Warriors on a jump shooting contest by attempts 20 3pts shots for just 5-20 3pts!
Today with Bynum and Kobe more focused, the Lakers won't have problems in pounding the Warriors down low, but the key will be on their defense. With their clear size edge, the Lakers' frontcourt will be clearly a problem for the undersized players of Golden State. Their only alternative will be to try outside shots and have good efficiency. They did quite well in that against the Lakers last week with 10-24 FG from 16-23 feet and 6-19 3pts, but I doubt they will be able to repeat such performance today, as the Lakers are generally a good defensive team on the perimeter. The Lakers won't definitely be on a relaxed spot for today after almost losing against a depleted Hornets team yesterday and with a clear edge in boards and in size, I expect them to get a clear blowout win against the lowly Warriors. I'm taking the Lakers tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 516 Los Angeles Lakers (-10) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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