Saturday, April 28, 2012

MLB Free Premium Card 04/27


MLB - 901 Chicago Cubs @ 902 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: P. Maholm vs R. Halladay)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 902 Philadelphia Phillies RL -1.5 (w/ R. Halladay) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes



MLB - 915 San Diego Padres @ 916 San Francisco Giants

(Starting Pitchers: C. Luebke vs E. Hacker)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 915 San Diego Padres ML (w/ C. Luebke) @ -114 / 1.88 on 5Dimes



MLB - 929 Kansas City Royals @ 930 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: E. Teaford vs C. Pavano)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 929 Kansas City Royals ML (w/ E. Teaford) @ +103 / 2.03 on 5Dimes



MLB - 921 Los Angeles Angels @ 922 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: J. Weaver vs J. Masterson)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 921 Los Angeles Angels ML (w/ J. Weaver) @ -150 / 1.67 on 5Dimes

NBA Premium Play 04/26: Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings


NBA - 723 Los Angeles Lakers @ 724 Sacramento Kings

Projected line: 207 points

Sacramento has been playing at an incredible fast pace lately and I don't expect this meaningless game to be an exception of that. With both Bynum and Gasol out, the Kings will have no problems in pounding the Lakers down low, as the team from LA will have no interior defense today. Therefore, expect a lot of success from Sacramento today in terms of transition plays and penetrations into the basket.

On the other hand, the Lakers may be resting some of their key players, however Sacramento was known the whole regular season for their terrible defense and on this meaningless game, don't expect Sacramento to show any kind of effort on defense, allowing the Lakers to comfortably score today, even though they will be missing some key pieces today. I expect a very fast pace game in here, with both teams showing zero effort on defense and therefore, I'll take the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 723/724 Over 203 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA Premium Play 04/26: Orlando Magic @ Memphis Grizzlies


NBA - 709 Orlando Magic @ 710 Memphis Grizzlies

Projected line: 180 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Orlando has nothing to win or lose on this game and they will start this game with Orton-Clark-Hedo-Wafer-Duhon! Besides Hedo, who will be lacking rhythm after some weeks without playing, this lineup has absolutely no offensive talent and looking at how both the Magic and the Grizzlies have been playing on a slow pace lately, I expect Orlando to really struggle to score a decent number of points today.

On the other side, Memphis needs to win this game in order to secure home court advantage in their series against the Clippers, but they won't need to accelerate the game, looking at Orlando's lineup for today. Therefore, I expect a low scoring game in here and so, I'll take the Under on this contest on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 709/710 Under 186 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA Premium Play 04/26: Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons


NBA - 707 Philadelphia 76ers @ 708 Detroit Pistons

Projected line: Detroit by 12 points

A win by Detroit today won't mess up their draft chances, while Philadelphia will continue resting some of their starters and they have already confessed that they would rather be #8 than #7 in the conference standings, in order to avoid Miami in the 1st round of the playoffs. So, they won't mind losing today in order to assure that they will indeed face Chicago and not Miami in the playoffs.

To make things worse for the Sixers today, Philadelphia will play their first playoff game next Saturday, in just two days. So, don't expect to see any effort from them today, as they are already with their mind on the playoffs. Detroit will definitely have a motivational and depth edge today, therefore I'll take them in here to a very easy win.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 708 Detroit Pistons (-7,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA Premium Play 04/26: New Orleans Hornets @ Houston Rockets


NBA - 706 New Orleans Hornets @ 707 Houston Rockets

Projected line: Houston by 8 points

With the Hornets missing a lot of starters tonight, I expect Houston to try to finish their season in style, as they will be missing the playoffs, but they have the best record from the non-playoff teams and so, they aren't fighting for a better position for next year's draft neither. Houston is clearly the better team in here and so, I believe they will have an easy win today over a completely depleted Hornets team. I'm taking Houston today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707 Houston Rockets (-5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA Premium Play 04/26: Cleveland Cavaliers @ Chicago Bulls


NBA - 703 Cleveland Cavaliers @ 704 Chicago Bulls

Projected line: Chicago by 17 points

Chicago is still fighting for securing home court advantage throughout the whole playoffs and mostly because of that, coach Thibs will just be resting Deng, Rose and Korver.

“I want our starters to get more time together, so it will be similar to [last night],” said Thibodeau. “We’ll see how the game unfolds. I just want us to continue to take it step by step.”

So, expect the remaining starters to play about 20-30 minutes today and then, one of the best benches in the league will enter the court. On the other hand, Cleveland will be in tank mode with Irving out of today's game. After Irving playing in the 1st quarter yesterday against Washington, the Cavs got outscored by the Wizards by 17 points in the other three remaining quarters! I expect a very easy blowout win for Chicago today and therefore, I'll take them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 704 Chicago Bulls (-13,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Thursday, April 26, 2012

NBA Advanced Stats Numbers 04/25


Charlotte at Orlando
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
CHAR
24
23
26
22
95
88.03
108.65
0.48
13.39
15.79
40.00
ORL
37
20
26
19
102

115.09
0.49
12.11
32.61
26.83
Washington at Cleveland
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
WAS
21
28
28
19
96
88.78
107.48
0.46
13.27
39.22
13.19
CLE
27
18
18
22
85

96.32
0.47
17.49
26.83
16.88
Chicago at Indiana
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
CHI
32
17
18
25
92
86.61
107.20
0.51
13.21
25.00
12.35
IND
24
12
23
28
87

99.54
0.48
11.22
16.67
13.75
L.A. Clippers at New York
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
LAC
19
20
27
27
93
83.31
112.65
0.56
14.74
24.32
20.00
NY
24
24
26
25
99

117.78
0.53
8.37
20.51
23.38
Philadelphia at Milwaukee
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
PHI
24
21
26
19
90
96.42
90.21
0.38
9.17
27.12
12.87
MIL
29
21
13
22
85

91.32
0.48
19.82
20.45
8.64
Denver at Oklahoma City
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
DEN
36
28
16
26
106
91.10
113.60
0.49
9.63
39.53
20.00
OKC
30
28
24
19
101

113.62
0.56
17.37
30.56
16.46
San Antonio at Phoenix
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
SA
26
32
24
28
110
97.36
114.45
0.51
12.49
27.91
22.73
PHO
29
24
29
24
106

107.49
0.51
13.08
26.67
11.70