NBA Premium Card 01/06

NBA - 701 Minnesota Timberwolves @ 702 Philadelphia 76ers

Play #2

The 76ers are riding a nice 4-game winning streak but they are primed for a letdown tonight. First of all, I don’t like their physical spot for tonight w/ only one day off between their west coast road trip & flying back home. So far this season, Eastern Conference teams after playing at least 3 games @west and playing their next game at home are 0-5 ATS.

Because they play @super fast pace, PHI’s opponents tried to outscore them via long ball and for some reason they struggled to hit outside shots. LAL had 12-37 3pts; DEN 5-25; SAC 7-23 & POR 3-22 while scoring just 28, 46, 46 and 40 points in the paint! However, the Wolves will just pound them down low using Kevin Love & Pekovic, so the Wolves will simply outgun the 76ers in the “right way”.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701 Minnesota Timberwolves (-7) @  -115 / 1.87 on Bovada

NBA - 705 Orlando Magic @ 706 Los Angeles Clippers

Play #1

Without Chris Paul, it is obvious that LAC offense will struggle a bit to generate the same amount of good outside looks. They were able to score 30 4th quarter points @DAL using their frontline edge and FT’s but in the last game @SAS, when it matters, they could only score 35 points in the first half.

I had a top play w/ Under in that game, as I expected a natural offensive letdown but the LAC simply couldn’t stop SAS offense and allowed 116 points. Both Griffin & Jordan played 41 minutes in the previous night and fatigue was quite evident because the Spurs scored 76 points in the paint! Both players are rested now and they will face an ORL team that has their best big player banged up.

ORL offense is struggling to score outside shots, so LAC can pack the paint and protect the rim. On the other side, ORL defense is actually a pretty decent interior defensive team so they will be able to slow down LAC offense sans CP3, and therefore, we have a good spot for the Under in this contest.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 705/706 Under 197 @  -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes