MLB Premium Card 06/25

MLB - 953 Milwaukee Brewers @ 954 Cincinnati Reds

(Starting Pitchers: Y. Gallardo vs M. Latos)

Mat Latos has been ultra inconsistent all season long by alternating some good outings with truly horrendous ones. That was the case in his last 2 starts against the Indians. He dominated them the first time just to be pounded the second time by allowing 3 HR-s in just 4 innings of work. Latos is simply great against right handed batters by allowing .204 BA and .386 SLG, but he has been awful against left handed batters by allowing .319 BA and .604 SLG! No wonder the Indians used a lineup full of lefties to pound him once they faced him a second time.

However, the Brewers lineup is almost exclusively constituted by RH batters, so Latos have some room to breathe tonight. On the Brewers' lineup for tonight, only Aoki and Morgan are LH batters, so I like the chances for Latos to have a good outing tonight. On the other hand, Gallardo is coming from three straight quality starts, but he is inconsistent on the road and the Reds are batting .335 against him. Votto (.348 BA), Bruce (.450 BA), Ludwich (.308 BA) and Phillips (.286 BA) are primed for a good game. 

Therefore, I'll be taking the Reds for a good home win today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 954 Cincinnati Reds ML (w/ M. Latos) @ -126 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

MLB - 957 New York Mets @ 958 Chicago Cubs

(Starting Pitchers: J. Santana vs T. Wood)

NOTE: No writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 957 New York Mets ML (w/ J. Santana) @ -126 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

MLB - 959 San Diego Padres @ 960 Houston Astros

(Starting Pitchers: R. Ohlendorf vs W. Rodriguez)

NOTE: No writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959 San Diego Padres ML (w/ R. Ohlendorf) @ +122 / 2.22 on Betonline

MLB - 963 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 964 San Francisco Giants

(Starting Pitchers: N. Eovaldi vs B. Zito)

NOTE: No writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 Los Angeles Dodgers ML (w/ N. Eovaldi) @ -103 / 1.97 on Betonline

MLB - 965 Cleveland Indians @ 966 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: J. Tomlin vs H. Kuroda)

I think this is a good spot to fade the Yankees after their series against the Mets. All the three contests were close games that demanded the best of the Yankees players, so a mental letdown is quite expected to happen tonight in my opinion.

The Indians’ starter Josh Tomlin is a ground ball SP that uses only his fastball to a 37.9% rate – a good receipt to beat the Yankees who loves to pound fly ball pitchers with a heavy dose of fastballs. Somehow, this helps us to understand how Tomlin was able to shut down the powerful Yankees lineup in 2 of his 3 starts against them allowing just 1 and 2 Earned Runs. A relatively disinterested Yankees lineup tonight will certainly help Tomlin.

On the other side, Kuroda has been a consistent pitcher for the Yankees, but his split stats are quite contrarian in terms of pitching to LH or RH batters. Righties are batting .214 BA (or .383 SLG) against him, but Lefties batters are batting .284 BA (.461 SLG)! That bodes well for a Indians lineup that have plenty of Lefties batters. I've just checked their lineup for tonight and Choo, Kipnis, Brantley, Kotchman, Damon, Hannahan and Chisenhall are all left handed batters, so Kuroda will struggle a bit tonight.

This contest will be a close battle and I believe we have some edge with the Indians. Therefore, I'll take Cleveland tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 965 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ J. Tomlin) @ +151 / 2.51 on Bookmaker

MLB - 969 Detroit Tigers @ 970 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: R. Porcello vs J. Grimm)

NOTE: No writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969/970 Over 11 (w/ R. Porcello & J. Grimm) @ +105 / 2.05 on 5Dimes