Projected line: 180 points | Oklahoma City by 6 points
**TOP PLAY**
***TRIPLE & DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
Last night’s contest was a bizarre game in which the referees decided to be a huge factor and some of their calls were completely “WTF moments”! Here’s the correlation between FTA’s and points scored quarter by quarter:
1st quarter – 6 FT’s – 38 points
2nd quarter – 23 FT’s – 59 points
3rd quarter – 13 FT’s – 42 points
4th quarter – 28 FT’s - 56 points
Without the free throws, both the Lakes and the Thunder struggled to score! The pace factor in these series has been slow (86.1; 82.2 and 87.7) so we are talking about a typical half court series.
These two teams couldn’t generate easy looks down low: LAL 10-21 FG at the rim and OKC 13-26 FG at the rim! OKC’s bread and butter offensive play – Pick n Roll ball handler has been well defended by the Lakers since game 1 -> OKC had 31 plays in Game 3, shooting 8-25 FG for a subpar 0.74PPP.
On the other side, the Lakers strongest play this season has been posting up and OKC’s defense is doing a really good job in contesting these kinds of plays: in Game 3, LAL had 30 post up plays but shooting just 6-19 from the field!
For some reason both LAL and OKC shot bellow the 40% mark and had only 20 and 31 assists last night! So for tonight, we have the first back to back game of this postseason and after such physical contest I really think that both teams will struggle once again tonight.
However, OKC is the younger team and not only they played 3 games less than the Lakers but they have been using a 9/10 rotation vs. 8-man rotation from the Lakers. 4 of the Lakers starters played 37, 38, 39 and 40 minutes and I don’t think that both Bynum and Gasol will have the energy to match OKC’s younger legs. OKC’s physical edge will be enormous for tonight!
1st quarter – 6 FT’s – 38 points
2nd quarter – 23 FT’s – 59 points
3rd quarter – 13 FT’s – 42 points
4th quarter – 28 FT’s - 56 points
Without the free throws, both the Lakes and the Thunder struggled to score! The pace factor in these series has been slow (86.1; 82.2 and 87.7) so we are talking about a typical half court series.
These two teams couldn’t generate easy looks down low: LAL 10-21 FG at the rim and OKC 13-26 FG at the rim! OKC’s bread and butter offensive play – Pick n Roll ball handler has been well defended by the Lakers since game 1 -> OKC had 31 plays in Game 3, shooting 8-25 FG for a subpar 0.74PPP.
On the other side, the Lakers strongest play this season has been posting up and OKC’s defense is doing a really good job in contesting these kinds of plays: in Game 3, LAL had 30 post up plays but shooting just 6-19 from the field!
For some reason both LAL and OKC shot bellow the 40% mark and had only 20 and 31 assists last night! So for tonight, we have the first back to back game of this postseason and after such physical contest I really think that both teams will struggle once again tonight.
However, OKC is the younger team and not only they played 3 games less than the Lakers but they have been using a 9/10 rotation vs. 8-man rotation from the Lakers. 4 of the Lakers starters played 37, 38, 39 and 40 minutes and I don’t think that both Bynum and Gasol will have the energy to match OKC’s younger legs. OKC’s physical edge will be enormous for tonight!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 527 Oklahoma City Thunder (-1) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 527/528 Under 189 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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