NBA - 807 Milwaukee Bucks @ 808 Detroit Pistons
Projected line: Milwaukee by 8 points
Milwaukee has been playing really well lately without Bogut, which is super weird! Their success formula has been their improved offense, with a faster pace, better ball movement (1.97 A/TO rate in their last 5 games vs 1.58 season average) and a very dynamic bakcourt with Jennings being amazing, but also Dunleavy, Livingston and Udrih sharing very well the ball, no wonder Captain Jackson left the team's rotation. Besides that, Milwaukee has Mbah a Moute and Ilyasova giving the team a great defensive contribution, while at the same time Gooden has been very active in both ends of the floor! Their only problem has been the rebounds, but they are coming from a boards win over Miami.
On the other side, Detroit is 0-7 on their last 7 games, with some huge losses. They had a back to back to back where they were just competitive at New Jersey, but it was again a depleted Nets team, who played with the three Williams + Humphries + Farmar, with a bench formed by Gaines, Jordan Williams and Bogans! Still, Detroit was completely outrebounded in that game, but they shot well at the rim with 18-27 FG rim + 10-19 FG from 16-23 feet, two areas where they don't use to be good. I expect Detroit to have huge problems with the turnovers, as they lead the league in with 393 turnovers, while the Bucks rank 8th in the NBA with 351 turnovers forced, so the Bucks should be able to turn miscues into easy points! The Pistons have also allowed a greater number of assists than any other team (548). The Bucks ball movement has been terrific lately and their current momentum, Milwaukee looks set to have a good game tonight, as their spot isn't bad. Eventually they may start flat, but the 2nd unit of the Bucks is playing so well that they will quickly put them back in the game, if necessary. I expect Milwaukee to dominate the Pistons tonight, so I'll take Milwaukee in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 807 Milwaukee Bucks (-4,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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