Sunday, March 31, 2013

NBA 03/30 Advanced Stats Numbers

Chicago at Dallas
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
CHI
23
33
19
23
98
85.84
113.53
0.55
12.88
26.83
12.50
DAL
24
29
22
25
100

117.15
0.54
11.23
24.32
17.72
Orlando at Atlanta
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
ORL
27
17
16
28
88
96.73
90.87
0.41
16.12
32.69
18.39
ATL
23
22
22
30
97

100.40
0.47
16.42
20.00
29.49
Charlotte at Philadelphia
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
CHAR
31
15
25
21
92
85.44
106.34
0.51
12.23
23.53
18.42
PHI
22
27
24
27
100

118.53
0.55
10.54
20.59
26.03
L.A. Clippers at Houston
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
LAC
29
21
13
18
81
95.06
87.74
0.44
18.42
16.28
15.38
HOU
28
27
30
13
98

100.20
0.49
19.32
27.91
23.75
Memphis at Minnesota
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
MEM
23
22
20
34
99
86.80
114.74
0.55
10.54
15.63
26.03
MIN
30
20
17
19
86

98.49
0.47
17.18
21.05
34.33
Oklahoma City at Milwaukee
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
OKC
32
24
27
26
109
89.61
123.31
0.56
12.74
27.78
33.33
MIL
28
18
37
16
99

109.01
0.44
7.92
33.33
13.27
Brooklyn at Utah
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
BK
28
26
20
33
107
87.80
122.00
0.57
15.98
37.50
18.52
UTA
33
19
31
33
116

131.97
0.62
9.85
26.32
19.75
Indiana at Phoenix
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
IND
27
30
29
26
112
92.93
122.50
0.49
12.25
42.22
42.50
PHO
21
28
27
28
104

110.14
0.52
15.83
25.71
21.95
L.A. Lakers at Sacramento
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
LAL
25
28
29
21
103
83.75
125.58
0.52
6.97
34.88
20.73
SAC
37
20
18
23
98

114.65
0.49
11.42
37.21
15.12
Portland at Golden State
Advanced Stats
4 Factors
Teams
1
2
3
4
T
PACE
Offense
EFG%
TOR
ORR
FTR
POR
31
24
23
20
98
94.39
103.37
0.43
10.02
21.15
27.91
GS
36
29
31
29
125

133.03
0.59
9.18
28.95
25.29


NBA Premium Play 03/30: Portland Trailblazers @ Golden State Warriors


NBA - 519 Portland Trailblazers @ 520 Golden State Warriors

Projected Line: 199 points

Portland basically threw away their last chances of reaching the Playoffs last night. It's not like they had a lot of chances due to their very tough schedule for the rest of the season, but I believe last night's home loss against Utah was their final blow. They gave it all with their starters playing at least 32 minutes each, but they couldn't compensate LaMarcus Aldridge's absence and they lost the game. They will now play at Golden State, who is coming from a home loss against Sacramento. I believe the Warriors completely overlooked the Kings after having defeated the Lakers at home two days before. For tonight's game, I believe Golden State will refocus and play at a much higher level.

We are in front of two jump shooting teams. Portland doesn't have big weapons down low without LaMarcus Aldridge, while Stephen Curry and Jarrett Jack lead the Warriors's offense. The problem is that these two teams have been elite defensive teams on 3pts defense throughout the whole season. Portland is #3 in the league with 33.6% 3pts allowed and Golden State is #5 with 34.1% 3pts allowed. They have been quite well on this area recently as well, as Portland is still #3 in the league on 3pts allowed over their last 10 games with 30.1% 3pts allowed, while Golden State is #5 with 31.6% 3pts allowing during the same span of games. It's important to note that we aren't in front of two overall elite defensive teams, as both teams struggle near the basket on defense.

However, both teams won't see their poor interior defense being exposed tonight. Portland is on a back to back spot and they will be playing without LaMarcus Aldridge once again tonight, so they aren't on a good spot to pound Golden State dow low, while the Warriors's offense has been very inconsistent lately and I believe they will struggle tonight against Portland's underrated perimeter defense tonight. Therefore, I see this game being a low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 519/520 Under 203 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker