NBA Free Premium Play 03/12: Milwaukee Bucks @ New Jersey Nets

Milwaukee  at New Jersey      NBA - 501 Milwaukee Bucks @ 502 New Jersey Nets Projected line: Milwaukee by 6 points Even though the Bucks weren't exactly impressive in the first three quarters of their last game in Toronto, they were able to stay in the game and then, win in the last quarter. Brandon Jennings was far from impressive with 11pts 4-14 FG 6ast and his defense was also quite poor, as Bayless had 16pts 7-13 FG 6ast. However, their frontcourt with Gooden and Ilyasova made sure the Bucks were good enough to win the game with two good offensive performances, while allowing the Raptors to shoot just 10-24 FG at the rim! On the other hand, the Nets will be once again without Deron for this contest, so their backcourt will be once again formed by Farmar and Brooks. In their last game, they were able to stay competitive against Houston, with a big game from their whole backcourt: Farmar 7-11 FG, Brooks 11-16 FG and Green 10-15 FG. Their problem was the lack of ball movement, as they dished a decent number of 21 assists, but they had a volume of 21.1% in ISO's plays, having still had great efficiency on those plays with 10-17 FG 1.05 PPP! Their problem is that these are once in a season kind of numbers for them, as not even Miami with Lebron and Wade can achieve such efficiency on these kind of plays in a regular basis! Their defense continues to be non-existent, as the Rockets shot 16-24 FG at the rim and 6-9 FG from 3-9 feet! This is a bad spot for the Bucks, however they are motivated right now as they are very close from the Knicks, who currently have the 8th seed in the conference. Both defenses are struggling defensively, however Milwaukee is a better team offensively, with a much better ball movement and the Nets won't be able to be so efficient on their ISO plays today as they were in their last game against Houston. Therefore, I expect a comfortable win for Milwaukee in here and so, I'll take them today. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501 Milwaukee Bucks (-3) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes