NBA 12/30 Advanced Stats Numbers

Milwaukee at Detroit							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
MIL	23	22	26	23	94		85.96	111.93	0.53	13.34	24.39	15.58
DET	30	25	23	18	96			109.17	0.51	17.66	41.03	14.63
San Antonio at Dallas							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
SA	27	30	25	29	111		93.10	118.52	0.56	11.59	15.79	25.93
DAL	22	23	25	16	86			92.93	0.41	9.96	26.92	9.47
Boston at Sacramento							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
BOS	18	31	24	23	96		93.29	102.71	0.46	12.11	22.22	19.77
SAC	24	30	30	34	118			126.72	0.60	13.08	28.57	24.39
Utah at L.A. Clippers							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
UTA	24	21	31	20	96		94.43	99.05	0.44	14.42	23.81	31.25
LAC	29	25	25	28	107			116.39	0.55	13.36	24.32	26.92

NBA Premium Play 12/30: Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Clippers

NBA - 807 Utah Jazz @ 808 Los Angeles Clippers

Projected Line: LA Clippers by 16 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
This is the second game in a row between these two teams, as the Clippers won at Utah last Friday night in a close game. It wasn't a good spot for the Clippers, as they had only 20 hours to prepare that game after beating the Celtics at home the night before. The game was quite physical with the Clippers starting outplaying the Jazz starters. Utah was terrible on the perimeter and the Clippers had easy wide open looks on the perimeter. The LA team didn't have great efficiency, but it was enough for them to build a lead. The difference came in the second quarter, where the Jazz bench crushed the Clippers second unit with good defense and quick transitions! The umpires let the game be very physical and the Clippers lost their composure. 

Coach Vinny Del Negro went against his usual rotations and made a situation substitution, inserting Matt Barnes into the game with the sole assignment of getting up on Foye, who is not great off the dribble, so if you stay up on him, eschew help defense and just take away Foye's space, he can certainly be contained, even if he's hitting his deep ball as he was. Barnes made a three pointer on his first touch and then stole the ball from Foye on his first defensive sequence. The Clippers went on a 21-5 run over the next six minutes to cut the lead down to three, and from then on it was a dogfight.

For this game, there will be no gap of energy between the two teams. As last Friday's game was physical, I expect the Clippers to try to crush Utah tonight. If the Clippers starters will once again outplay Utah's starting lineup, I don't believe the Jazz second unit will once again outplay the Clippers second unit. In fact, I expect the opposite to happen in here. Utah shot 9-15 3pts last Friday and almost the whole damage was done by Randy Foye, who is unlikely to repeat such performance today. With the LA team putting a lot of attention on Foye and with the Jazz struggling on the outside, the Clippers interior defense will also cause problems to Utah's interior defense. I expect another blowout win for the Clippers today and so, I'll be taking them in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 808 Los Angeles Clippers (-9,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA Premium Play 12/30: San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks

NBA - 803 San Antonio Spurs @ 804 Dallas Mavericks

Projected Line: San Antonio by 9 points

This current style of Dallas with a fast pace, where they are dependent from fast break points and good outside shooting efficiency may work in some games, but against teams that also do the same thing and better, the Mavericks have no chances as they have no talent or explosion to beat a team like the Spurs on this kind of game. This is why they also got crushed by Denver, even though the Mavs were on a bad spot. San Antonio is currently the worst matchup for Dallas and so, they will heavily struggle today.

San Antonio on a wide open game has an unstoppable ball movement and Dallas has no athleticism to make the right close outs on the perimeter, allowing the Spurs shooters to have another big game, like it happened in the recent game between the two teams played in San Antonio. The Spurs are healthy and with their game working at 100%, Dallas has no chances against the Spurs. Dirk Nowitzki isn't at 100% yet and even if he was, this kind of up and down game simply doesn't work for him, as he is a half court player. I expect an easy win for San Antonio tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 803 San Antonio Spurs (-5,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA Premium Play 12/30: Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons

NBA - 801 Milwaukee Bucks @ 802 Detroit Pistons

Projected Line: 195 points

Milwaukee has been showing good identity over the last two games, where they played on a very fast pace. They have now Mike Dunleavy and Beno Udrih coming off the bench and with Luc Mbah a Moute instead of Samuel Dalembert in the lineup. These changes made the Bucks quick offense to improve and with that, they scored 19 and 21 fast break points! For today, the gameplan will be exactly the same and they won't have problems in scoring more than 15 fast break points against the Pistons defense tonight.

Detroit has allowed 15, 25 and 36 fast break points in three of their last four games. They allowed just 6 fast break points against Miami because the Heat were tired and tried to set a slow pace in their game. Detroit has been having a very good offensive production coming off their bench, however their problem is that their second unit is also terrible defensively. But that is being compensated with an amazing chemistry on offense! 

This game will be played on a fast pace, with Milwaukee being confident and looking good on offense, while the Pistons with their depth will also have give offensive production. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 801/802 Over 191,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NFL Week 17 Premium Play 12/30

NFL Week 17 - 309 Houston Texans @ 310 Indianapolis Colts

Projected Line: Houston by 10 points

I like the Texans in here to bounce back from their home loss last week against Minnesota. Houston needs to win today to secure their #1 seed in the AFC and they have the right tools to comfortably beat the Colts, as they shown two weeks ago when they defeated Indianapolis at home by 29-17. Both Matt Schaub and Arian Foster have good matchups against the poor Colts defense, while Andrew Luck will definitely struggle once again against a very good Texans pass defense. With Indianapolis already locked on the #5 seed and against a really tough matchup for them, I expect Houston to bounce back today with a very comfortable win over a team that hasn't been able to do anything against top teams this season. I'm taking the Texans today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 309 Houston Texans (-6) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

NFL Week 17 - 311 Jacksonville Jaguars @ 312 Tennessee Titans

Projected Line: Tennessee by 8 points

Tennessee is coming from a very heavy loss at Green Bay and so, I believe they will try to bounce back at home in their final game of the season against a divisional rival. Jacksonville is on the "fight" to get the #1 draft pick next season and therefore, their motivation for this game isn't big. They are coming from a huge effort against the Patriots last week, so a letdown in here seems to be likely to happen as well. Tennessee has a big offensive weapon in Chris Johnson that Jacksonville lacks (Maurice Jones-Drew is still out with a foot injury) and with this big difference of motivation between the two teams, I expect the Titans to have an easy win today, after having lost at Jacksonville a month ago. I'm taking Tennessee today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 312 Tennessee Titans (-5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NFL Week 17 - 313 Philadelphia Eagles @ 314 New York Giants

Projected Line: NY Giants by 4 points

Philadelphia was a mess this season, but they have been kinda competitive as of late, with a win at Tampa Bay and a close loss against the Redskins last week. On the other hand, the NY Giants seem to be in completely free fall right now and they were completely flat on their last two games against Atlanta and Baltimore. Their defense is full of injuries and playing really terrible football right now and even a returning Michael Vick and especially LeSean McCoy should be able to have a good game today. I don't trust Eli Manning or the banged up Ahmad Bradshaw to crush the Eagles today and therefore, I expect Philadelphia to show up today and be a spoiler to their divisional rival. I expect a close game in here and so, I'll be taking the Eagles.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 313 Philadelphia Eagles (+7) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada

NFL Week 17 - 323 Carolina Panthers @ 324 New Orleans Saints

Projected Line: New Orleans by 8 points

New Orleans played like a playoff contender in the second half of the season and I expect them to avoid a losing season today by beating their divisional rivals Panthers at home today. Drew Brees is back at his regular level and with Chris Ivory back for today's game, I expect the Saints running game to also have a decent game. Carolina has been playing well lately as well, however not at the same level of the Saints. Cam Newton has been really good on the second half of the season, however he is still a bit inconsistent and the Saints defense has been able to get a decent number of takeaways lately. I expect this game to be a shootout, where the Panthers won't be eventually able to hang with the super potent Saints offense on the scoreboard. This is also a revenge game for New Orleans, who lost at Carolina back in week 2, therefore I'll be taking the Saints in here for a comfortable win.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 324 New Orleans Saints (-4) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

NFL Week 17 - 327 Oakland Raiders @ 328 San Diego Chargers

Projected Line: 36 points

The public is all over the Over on this contest, but I believe they are completely wrong. Oakland will use their third quarterback Terrelle Pryor today and he has little experience on the league, therefore I expect the Raiders to rush the football a lot today with Darren McFadden. The problem is that the Chargers have a really good run defense and they won't have problems in stopping the Raiders offense today. On the other hand, Philip Rivers had a disappointing season, while the Chargers running has been poor, especially with Ryan Matthews on the Injury Reserve. Oakland's defense isn't great, however they have been very decent over their last two games by allowing 0 points to Kansas City and 17 points to Carolina. Therefore, I expect Oakland to be able to limit San Diego's average offense today as well. With neither team having a good offensive game today, I expect this game to quickly become a low scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 327/328 Under 40 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

2-Team 6pts Teaser:

NFL Week 17 - 303 Miami Dolphins @ 304 New England Patriots

NFL Week 17 - 331 St Louis Rams @ 332 Seattle Seahawks

New England needs to win today to have a shot at getting a first bye round next week. Miami has a decent defense, but they won't be able to cope with New England's high potent offense, especially with Rob Gronkowski back in the field. Miami has only Reggie Bush as a quality offensive weapon, but the Patriots have a decent run defense and they won't have problems in taking out Miami today, just like it happened in the game played in Florida earlier on the month. 

Seattle needs to win today to still have a shot at winning their division and considering their current form, especially on offense, it's hard to expect anything but an easy win for them today. St Louis's defense is average but not good enough to handle Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch in excellent form, while Sam Bradford will have a very tough game against the Seahawks top pass defense. The Rams don't also have a great running game to take advantage of Seattle's average run defense, therefore I can only expect Seattle to end the regular season with another easy home win today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 304 New England Patriots (-4,5) x 332 Seattle Seahawks (-5,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NFL Week 17 - 315 Dallas Cowboys @ 316 Washington Redskins

Projected Line: Washington by 6 points

The winner of this game will win the division and I believe Washington is the team that has better conditions to do it today. RGIII has regained some mobility on practice this week, but even if he struggles on his mobility tonight, his throws combined with Alfred Morris's carries will rip apart a Cowboys defense that has been poor the whole season against both the passing and the running game. Therefore, Washington shouldn't have problems in putting points on the scoreboard today, just like they didn't in the Thanksgiving game at Dallas when they scored 38 points. On the other hand, Tony Romo has been in good form and the Redskins secondary isn't great, but with a struggling running game and a poor defense, Tony Romo will have to carry the team on his own on a very cold night and with a limited Dez Bryant. With Washington having no problems in scoring points tonight, Tony Romo won't be able to make his team hang around in the game for the whole contest on his own. The Redskins have more solutions on their offense, they have also a slightly better defense, they are playing at home, they have more momentum than the Cowboys right now, therefore I believe Washington will comfortably win tonight's game and get into the playoffs. I'm taking the Redskins in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 316 Washington Redskins (-3) @ -125 / 1.80 on Bookmaker

NBA 12/29 Advanced Stats Numbers

New Orleans at Charlotte							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
NO	22	18	33	25	98		89.24	108.46	0.49	14.00	30.23	20.73
CHAR	25	32	16	22	95			107.80	0.52	15.41	32.43	16.46
Indiana at Atlanta							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
IND	26	22	22	30	100		87.28	117.46	0.51	10.03	29.73	23.75
ATL	33	22	28	26	109			121.88	0.61	16.48	28.57	13.75
Toronto at Orlando							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
TOR	36	31	20	36	123		85.40	141.98	0.65	8.06	26.47	19.51
ORL	21	26	24	17	88			104.55	0.48	7.17	22.22	13.58
Cleveland at Brooklyn							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
CLE	24	29	21	26	100		90.97	109.24	0.52	16.61	32.50	18.29
BK	34	27	18	24	103			113.95	0.49	13.19	30.77	38.67
Washington at Chicago							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
WAS	26	13	24	14	77		88.72	85.40	0.38	15.47	30.77	14.12
CHI	22	23	25	17	87			99.68	0.43	8.66	24.53	13.79
Denver at Memphis							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
DEN	15	21	21	15	72		81.12	90.45	0.45	18.30	23.81	16.18
MEM	19	18	16	28	81			98.02	0.43	10.67	35.42	4.49
Oklahoma City at Houston							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
OKC	31	37	28	28	124		108.96	113.18	0.55	17.44	28.57	22.34
HOU	26	24	24	20	94			86.74	0.45	20.19	12.77	24.10
Phoenix at Minnesota							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
PHO	29	29	29	20	107		96.48	109.75	0.47	4.44	21.57	15.46
MIN	32	32	25	22	111			116.28	0.53	9.05	23.91	17.98
Miami at Milwaukee							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
MIA	20	24	27	14	85		92.18	93.64	0.46	19.52	29.55	19.74
MIL	25	31	13	35	104			111.13	0.45	5.38	26.92	16.33
Philadelphia at Portland							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
PHI	23	21	23	18	85		84.90	99.66	0.45	12.64	29.79	10.59
POR	30	19	21	19	89			105.30	0.50	11.70	16.22	17.11
Boston at Golden State							Advanced Stats		4 Factors
Teams	1	2	3	4	T		PACE	Offense	EFG%	TOR	ORR	FTR
BOS	23	17	27	16	83		90.85	90.78	0.39	12.01	24.07	18.60
GS	29	28	19	25	101			111.88	0.60	19.18	16.67	17.81